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期货交易所报告 2019年 第二期

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  1. 2019年2月到7月数字通证期货交易量增幅明显。全市场期货交易总量达16,057亿美元,占全市场交易量的26.15%(本期现货交易总量为45,336亿美元;期货现货总交易量为61,393亿美元),日均期货交易量88.71亿美元。
  2. 5月份起期货交易猛增,全市场期货交易量从2月份的1,045亿美元增长到7月份的4,127亿美元,半年内月均增长率高达39%。5、6、7三个月的总交易量为2、3、4三个月总交易量的3倍。
  3. 始终占据市场合约交易量前三位的交易所仍为BitMEX、OKEx和Huobi DM,本期期货总交易量分别为6,497亿美元、5,321亿美元和2,801亿美元,日均达到36亿美元、29亿美元和15亿美元。
  4. 期货交易量的大幅度提升一方面是由于4月起比特币市价一路高涨对市场情绪的抬升,原有期货交易所也纷纷开展了更丰富的合约业务,从标的交易对的增多到期货合约种类的创新;另一方面投资者们也越来越多地接触和认可期货合约的价值,对非主流币种合约标的的需求也有所上涨,给期货合约市场带来新增量。
  5. 2018年9月之前数字通证期货交易市场被BitMEX和OKEx呈现寡头格局垄断,2018年12月初Huobi Global上线Huobi DM合约交易平台后,一路追赶,自2月到7月交易量不断攀升,市场份额逐渐扩大。本期交易总量占BitMEX的43%,全市场的17%,虽然增速较快,但就交易量上看,距离OKEx和BitMEX还有一些距离。
  6. 继芝加哥期权交易所(CBOE)2019年3月份宣布下线比特币期货交易之后,传统期货交易所仅剩下芝加哥商品交易所(CME)能够交易比特币期货合约。数据显示本期数字通证期货交易约有97%发生在数字通证交易所,传统交易所交易占比不足3%。
  7. 2019年以来加密货币衍生品不断创新,出现期权合约、指数合约和杠杆代币等新型衍生品。期权合约已成为新的风向标,主流平台纷纷开始研发期权合约产品。目前市场上以反向合约为主,永续合约较交割合约更受欢迎,百倍杠杆设计已成常态。
  8. 衍生品合约标的不断丰富,不仅非主流标的大范围增多,还增加了稳定币标的,基于上半年IEO模式热度的上涨,平台币标的需求也有所扩大。
  9. 期货产品设计及创新的落脚点大多在防穿仓设计机制上,目的在优化用户交易体验并降低平台运营风险。合理价格标记系统作为防穿仓设计机制的重要组成部分,通常是在价格指数的基础上设计而成。若指数成分组成数量较少,则在面临较大的行情波动或者指数所依赖的交易所API出现问题时,易出现大幅度插针问题或安全事故。

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Industry Research Report

13rd Sep 2019
As a core component of the blockchain ecosystem, cryptocurrency mining plays an important role in maintaining the stability of Proof of Work (PoW) cryptocurrency networks and the basic value of currencies. During the second quarter of 2019, Bitcoin price soared, leading to a fast payback of the mining industry. Despite the considerable hike in the price of mining hardware, the supply of mining machines still failed to meet market demand in the second quarter, thus making it difficult for miners to purchase mining hardware for their operations. However, the market saw a solid increase in the supply of cloud computing power products as the spike in Bitcoin price generated optimistic expectations about the future crypto market outlook, opening the doors for ordinary investors to readily enter the mining market.  TokenInsight has prepared the 2019 Q2 mining industry research report based on data and analysis from the 2019 Q1 mining industry report, covering the recent market changes and trends with Bitcoin mining as the primary focus. This report aims at providing comprehensive information to the "miners" and ordinary investors in the industry so that they would be in a better position to make informed and realistic investment decisions.

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The cryptocurrency market continued to show signs of strength in the second quarter of 2019, with trading volume climbing 165% from the first quarter. The trading volume of the overall market (all 182 centralized and 17 decentralized exchanges included) reached USD 4.0801 trillion in the April-June period, posting 165% growth from the first quarter. Specifically, the trading volume of centralized exchanges totaled USD 4.0745 trillion, up 198% from the first quarter while the trading volume of decentralized exchanges grew by 509% from the first quarter to USD 5.6 billion in the second quarter.

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Security incidents and loss of funds surrounding exchanges have frequently occurred in various scale. However, as cryptocurrency exchanges pay more attention to security issues and invest more into their internal systems, the overall problem has become increasingly more mature. In general, users believe that both the largest exchanges and emerging rising exchanges with significant accurate trading volumes are safer. Notably, industry users currently have a high sense of trust with the largest exchanges.
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